Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.651781 1.886616 2.144418 2.448670 2.798253 3.187729 3.655097
2025-08-31 1.281785 1.580953 1.936384 2.390714 2.957428 3.642835 4.537484
2025-09-07 1.098872 1.446684 1.888654 2.493612 3.303601 4.355549 5.833365
2025-09-14 0.946375 1.318126 1.818844 2.546319 3.582687 5.015734 7.164440
2025-09-21 0.810351 1.185648 1.717609 2.532148 3.758027 5.550293 8.398790
2025-09-28 0.682242 1.042429 1.576479 2.433169 3.787018 5.867439 9.351469
2025-10-05 0.629668 1.002029 1.577985 2.543387 4.141287 6.715812 11.248287
2025-10-12 0.588177 0.971759 1.588714 2.665830 4.527071 7.661485 13.444564
2025-10-19 0.539972 0.923220 1.562088 2.720006 4.801892 8.454277 15.493038
2025-10-26 0.497104 0.877500 1.533142 2.763850 5.060657 9.248397 17.658294
2025-11-02 0.442497 0.804075 1.446488 2.691532 5.095670 9.636797 19.108838
2025-11-09 0.385971 0.720213 1.330809 2.549474 4.977770 9.716777 19.955249
2025-11-16 0.351355 0.674131 1.281271 2.531153 5.105706 10.306992 21.972081
2025-11-23 0.317073 0.624660 1.219548 2.480926 5.162966 10.764157 23.786039
2025-11-30 0.304403 0.616217 1.236781 2.593317 5.573952 12.016553 27.565501
2025-12-07 0.287198 0.596441 1.228702 2.651177 5.875402 13.075880 31.084496
2025-12-14 0.265139 0.563897 1.190271 2.637953 6.016341 13.796196 33.918622
2025-12-21 0.237889 0.517105 1.116169 2.535452 5.937754 13.998020 35.505071
2025-12-28 0.230835 0.513767 1.136169 2.650956 6.389980 15.526321 40.749758
2026-01-04 0.224974 0.512382 1.160249 2.779059 6.891103 17.249154 46.822560
2026-01-11 0.214430 0.498978 1.155188 2.835773 7.221226 18.588619 52.089391
2026-01-18 0.204001 0.484649 1.146274 2.881640 7.529821 19.917958 57.572855
2026-01-25 0.187199 0.453101 1.092518 2.806141 7.505733 20.350499 60.505217